À la poubelle

Jul 10, 2026

La politique est de plus en plus ordurière

Points clés:

  • Tensions au Moyen-Orient : les craintes d’une reprise du conflit ont fait grimper les taux américains cette semaine, même si les marchés restent sceptiques quant à la possibilité d’une escalade significative.
  • Émissions obligataires d’entreprises : l’émission obligataire d’Amazon, d’un montant de 25 milliards de dollars, a constitué la 7e opération « jumbo » de l’année, soulignant un appétit soutenu pour les nouvelles émissions malgré des contraintes de volume.
  • Politique française : la validation de la candidature de Marine Le Pen à la présidentielle a fait grimper les spreads des OAT à 82 points de base cette semaine, se rapprochant ainsi du pic de 85 points de base atteint l’été dernier.
  • Drame politique au Royaume-Uni : Nigel Farage a démissionné de son siège de député cette semaine, déclenchant une élection partielle où il affrontera le candidat humoriste Count Binface.
  • Perspectives macroéconomiques : les pressions inflationnistes persistantes liées à l’IA laissent présager que la Fed maintiendra sa position restrictive, avec des hausses de taux probables jusqu’au début de l’année 2027.

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