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Selon un rapport1, sur 168 sondages menés avant le vote sur le Brexit en 2016, moins d’un tiers prévoyaient que le Royaume-Uni voterait en faveur d’une sortie de l’Union européenne. Malgré ce sentiment, et après une analyse détaillée et un dialogue avec des conseillers bien placés de la campagne sur le Brexit, nous en avons conclu que le « oui » était très probable. Notre position courte sur la livre sterling le jour de l’annonce des résultats et la position longue en duration sur les obligations de l’Union Européeneque nous avons mise en place dans les semaines suivantes ont généré des résultats significatifs pour nos clients.
1. What UK Thinks, sondage mené entre le 4 septembre 2015 et le 22 juin 2016
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